About

AI Tipster started from a simple idea: What if I could use all this online data to predict the outcome of a football match?

I soon realized that plenty of people, way smarter than I am, have already tried it. From math teachers in top universities to every single betting website available online now.

But then I read about "The greater fool" so I decided to be one.

That was about seven years ago. Every season since, usually in early summer once the dust has settled, I run a fresh batch of simulations and tweak how predictions get generated. The data feed behind the site has also grown richer year over year, and as more of that detail becomes available, it gets weighted into the model. The core scoring method - the 0-5 coefficient you see on every match - hasn't changed in that time. Some things are worth refining every year. Others are worth leaving alone once they work. If you want the technical detail behind both, that's what the methodology page is for.

AI Tipster was free for most of those eight years. I added a small $9.99 monthly fee this past February, mainly to help cover the data and hosting costs of keeping it running. It was a passion project a lot longer than it's been a product.

I build the predictions with my own algorithms, but every football fan reads a match differently. That's exactly why Match Finder exists: so you can apply your own rules instead of just mine. It's a tool that can still be improved, and it will be.

This site is still, eight years on, the result of one person's evenings and coffee. It may not be the best product out there but it's definitely built with love and passion for the most beautiful game.

"In economic terms, The Greater Fool is a patsy (...) For everyone else to profit, they need a greater fool; someone who would buy long and sell short. Most people spend their lives trying not to be the greater fool. (...) The Greater fool is someone with the perfect blend of self-delusion and ego to think that he can succeed where others have failed. All great things were made by greater fools." The Newsroom

- Marian M.